Flood Hazard Mapping: Uncertainty and its Value in the Decision-making Process IHE Delft PhD Thesis Series
Auteur : Mukolwe Micah Mukungu
Computers are increasingly used in the simulation of natural phenomena such as floods. However, these simulations are based on numerical approximations of equations formalizing our conceptual understanding of flood flows. Thus, model results are intrinsically subject to uncertainty and the use of probabilistic approaches seems more appropriate. Uncertain, probabilistic floodplain maps are widely used in the scientific domain, but still not sufficiently exploited to support the development of flood mitigation strategies.
In this thesis the major sources of uncertainty in flood inundation models are analyzed, resulting in the generation of probabilistic floodplain maps. The utility of probabilistic model output is assessed using value of information and the prospect theory. The use of these maps to support decision making in terms of floodplain development under flood hazard threat is demonstrated.
1 Introduction
2 A review of flood inundation modelling
3 Case studies and data availability
4 Uncertainty in flood modelling
5 Flood hazard maps and damage
6 Usefulness of probabilistic flood hazard maps
7 Conclusions and recommendations
Micah M. Mukolwe is a trained civil engineer with interests in civil infrastructure design, implementation, project planning and management, and the effect (and mitigation) of natural hazards on floodplain receptors using hydroinformatics tools.
Date de parution : 09-2018
17.4x24.6 cm
Date de parution : 12-2016
17.4x24.6 cm
Thèmes de Flood Hazard Mapping: Uncertainty and its Value in the... :
Mots-clés :
Flood Hazard; Flood Inundation Modelling; Uncertainty; Probabilistic flood map; floodplain planning; Flood Inundation; Face Tough; Ubaye Valley; Issues Issues Issues; Prospect Theory; River Po; Flood Map; Children Face Tough Issues Safe; Rating Curve; INSEE; SRTM; Issues Issues; Tough Issues Face Tough Issues; LiDAR Data; Aster; Aster GDEM; Model Structure; Tough Helping Children Face Tough; Face Tough Helping Children Face; Case Study; Children Face Tough Helping Children; Disaster Management Cycle; Simulated Water Levels