China‘s Macroeconomic Outlook, 1st ed. 2019 Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, October 2018 Current Chinese Economic Report Series
Langue : Anglais
Auteur : Center for Macroeconomic Research
This report is a partial result of the China?s Quarterly Macroeconometric Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR is one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, focusing on China?s economic growth and macroeconomic policy. The CMR started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.
Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China? major macroeconomic variables. Since July 2006, twenty-four quarterly reports on China?s macroeconomic outlook have been presented and eleven annual reports have been published.
This 25th quarterly report was presented at the Forum on China?s Macroeconomic Outlook and Press Conference of CQMM on October 25, 2018. This conference was jointly held by SOAS London University, Xiamen University, and Economic Information Daily in London, UK.
Chapter 1 China’s Economic Performance in the First Half of 2018.- Chapter 2 Quarterly Forecast for 2018-19.- Chapter 3 Policy Simulation: Effects of Changes in the Household Debt Ratio on China’s GDP Growth.- Chapter 4 Policy Implications and Suggestions.
Provides a comprehensive overview of China’s economic performance
Reports the projection of China’s major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters
Illustrates the simulation results about the effects of policy on the Chinese economy
Report on the Questionnaire Survey on China’s Macroeconomic Situation and Policy in 2018
Date de parution : 02-2019
Ouvrage de 57 p.
15.5x23.5 cm
Thème de China‘s Macroeconomic Outlook :
Mots-clés :
Economic outlook; Economic forecast; The Chinese economy; Policy simulation; CQMM
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