The Future of the Telecommunications Industry: Forecasting and Demand Analysis, 1999 Topics in Regulatory Economics and Policy Series, Vol. 33

The aim of this book, Future of the Telecommunications Industry: Forecasting and Demand Analysis, is to describe leading research in the area of empirical telecommunications demand analysis and forecasting in the light of tremendous market and regulatory changes. Its purpose is to educate the reader about how traditional analytic techniques can be used to assess new telecommunications products and how new analytic techniques can better address existing products. The research presented focuses on new products such as Internet access and additional lines and new techniques such as hazard modeling, adaptive forecasting and neural networks.
The scope of this volume includes new telecommunications products, new analytical techniques, and a review of market changes in the US and other countries. Some of the most critical questions facing the industry are addressed here, such as the impact of competition, customer churn, rate re-balancing, and early assessment of new products. The research includes a variety of different countries, products and analytic tools.

List of Contributors. Acknowledgements. 1. Introduction; D.G. Loomis. Part I: Demand for New Products and Trends in Demand Analysis. 2. Telecommunications Demand Analysis in Transition: An Overview of Part I; L.D. Taylor. 3. An Econometric Study of the Demand for Access to the Internet; D.J. Kridel, et al. 4. Demand for and Use of Additional Lines by Residential Customers; C.A. Cassel. 5. The Changing Market for Inland and International Calls; D. Cracknell. 6. Demand Modeling at Bell Canada: A Retrospective; C. Dineen, M. Abrar. 7. Effects of Large Price Reductions on Toll and Carrier Access Demand in California; T.J. Tardiff. 8. Semi-Parametric Estimates of Intra-Lata Demand Elasticities; A. Levy. Part II: Forecasting New Products and the Impact of Competition: An Overview of Part II; D.G. Loomis. 10. Forecasting New Telecommunication Services at a `Pre-Development' Product Stage; A. Taschner. 11. Analysis of Customer Expectations for the Introduction of New Telecommunications Services; I.M. Palombini, B. Sapio. 12. Limits to Growth in Telecom Markets? J.-P. Saether. 13. Forecasting Telephony Demand Against a Background of Major Structural Change; D. Cracknell, C. Mason. 14. 161 Days of Full Competition - Some Observations from the German Market; E.-O. Ruhle. 15. Competition in the Chinese Cellular Market: Promise and Problematic; X. Yan, D.C. Pitt. Index.