New Developments in Time Series Econometrics, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1994 Coll. Studies in Empirical Economics

This book contains eleven articles which provide empirical applications as well as theoretical extensions of some of the most exciting recent developments in time-series econometrics. The papers are grouped around three broad themes: (I) the modeling of multivariate times series; (II) the analysis of structural change; (III) seasonality and fractional integration. Since these themes are closely inter-related, several other topics covered are also worth stressing: vector autoregressive (VAR) models, cointegration and error-correction models, nonparametric methods in time series, and fractionally integrated models. Researchers and students interested in macroeconomic and empirical finance will find in this collection a remarkably representative sample of recent work in this area.

New Developments in Time Series Econometrics: An Overview.- Modelling of Multivariate Economic Time Series.- Usefulness of Linear Transformations in Multivariate Time-Series Analysis.- VAR Modelling and Haavelmo’s Probability Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling.- Inference in Expectations Models of the Term Structure: A Non-parametric Approach.- Adjustment Costs and Time-To-Build in Factor Demand in the U.S Manufacturing Industry.- Structural Change Analysis.- Parameter Constancy in Cointegrating Regressions.- The HUMP-Shaped Behavior of Macroeconomic Fluctuations.- The Sources of the U.S. Money Demand Instability.- Seasonality, Cointegration and Fractional Integration.- On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and its Consequences: An Empirical Investigation with US Data.- Seasonal Cointegration, Common Seasonals, and Forecasting Seasonal Series.- A Note on Johansen’s Cointegration Procedure when Trends are Present.- Small Sample Bias in Conditional Sum-of-Squares Estimators of Fractionally Integrated ARMA Models.